OpenADMET CYP Blind Challenge · November 5, 2026 · Global Rank #1 in TDI

Global Rank #1 in Cytochrome P450 Time-Dependent Inhibition, Top-10 Direct Potency & Tier 1 Cryo-EM Poses.

Across 6,034 submissions (~13.8M predictions) in the OpenADMET Cytochrome P450 Inhibition Blind Challenge (6,896 compounds + 20 novel CYP3A4 Cryo-EM structures), rasayan-labs was one of only 17 teams worldwide to make the final leaderboard across all three tracks—winning Global Rank #1 Worldwide (Tier 1) in Time-Dependent Inhibition (TDI) with 100.0% CYP2D6 precision (zero false positives), Rank #8 Overall (#6 Public-Data) in pan-isoform direct potency (CYP3A4 R² = 0.759, ρ = 0.877), and Tier 1 in blind Cryo-EM structure prediction.

Global Rank #1 in Time-Dependent Inhibition and Pan-Isoform Direct Potency Scorecard
Prospective blind performance across Track 2 Time-Dependent Inhibition (Global Rank #1, 100.0% CYP2D6 Precision) and Track 1 Pan-Isoform Direct Potency (CYP1A2, CYP2C9, CYP3A4, CYP2D6).
1. What We Did & Why We Did It

Solving the #1 Cause of Clinical Drug–Drug Interactions & Idiosyncratic Hepatotoxicity

Four hepatic Cytochrome P450 enzymes—CYP3A4, CYP2D6, CYP2C9, and CYP1A2—catalyze the oxidative clearance of more than 80% of all small-molecule pharmaceuticals. Unintended CYP inhibition drives over 30% of late-stage clinical DDI failures and post-market safety withdrawals.

The Irreversible TDI Hazard

Mechanism-Based Enzyme Destruction

Unlike reversible competitive inhibition, Time-Dependent Inhibition (TDI) occurs when CYP catalysis bioactivates a ligand into a reactive intermediate that covalently alkylates the prosthetic heme or apoprotein—permanently destroying enzyme activity until 3–5 days of de novo hepatic protein synthesis.

Why Legacy QSAR Fails

Confounding Binding With Bioactivation

Standard binary classifiers trained on TDI labels conflate simple reversible binding affinity with catalytic heme inactivation, generating 55%–65% false-positive rates that prematurely terminate viable clinical drug candidates.

Our Unified 3-Track Breakthrough

Thermodynamics + Assay Physics + 3D Poses

Using strictly public data, we unified pH 7.4 Boltzmann ionization thermodynamics, Hill–Langmuir assay physics across 6,146 training compounds, and 3D heme coordination geometry—winning Rank #1 Worldwide in TDI and finishing in the top tier across all 3 tracks.

Thermodynamic pH 7.4 Ionization Orthogonality and 5-Sub-Population TDI Discovery
2. How We Did It · Three Foundational Scientific Discoveries

First-Principles Ionization Thermodynamics, Assay Physics & Catalytic Warhead Decomposition

Rather than treating CYP inhibition as a black-box curve-fitting exercise, we began by uncovering the physical, thermodynamic, and experimental laws governing the 6,146-compound OpenADMET dataset.

Discovery 1 · pH 7.4 Boltzmann Ionization Orthogonality

Why CYP2D6 Demands Protonated Cations (11.55×) While CYP3A4/2C9 Follow log D₇.₄

Neutral SMILES strings are physically blind to whether an amine or carboxylic acid is charged in physiological buffer (pH 7.4). Using our Rasayan Macroscopic pKa Engine (validated across 356 zero-overlap SAMPL6/7/8 and Novartis transitions with RMSE = 0.7105, R² = 0.9131, Spearman ρ = 0.9558), we computed exact Henderson–Hasselbalch Boltzmann charge fractions. Across 6,146 compounds, potent CYP2D6 inhibitors (pIC₅₀ ≥ 6) exhibited a mean cationic fraction of 46.90% vs. 4.06% in inactives (11.55× enrichment, p = 1.54 × 10⁻³²), driven by salt-bridge pairing with Asp301 and Glu216. Conversely, CYP3A4 (ρ = +0.6346, within-scaffold ρ = +0.6339) and CYP2C9 (ρ = +0.5008) were governed by pH-corrected lipophilicity (log D₇.₄).

Discovery 2 · Resolving 73.3% Assay Sparsity & 15.9× Floor Noise

Hill–Langmuir Cross-Isoform Bridging & Inverse Credible-Interval Weighting

We discovered that 73.31% (3,596 / 4,905) of training dose-response curves (DRCs) were measured in only a single isoform, whereas 4,376 compounds had dense 4-isoform single-concentration (49.5 µM) screens linked to pIC₅₀ via the Hill–Langmuir isotherm (Spearman ρ = 0.8283–0.9525). Simultaneously, censored floor extrapolations (pIC₅₀ ≤ 4.0) exhibited up to 15.90× wider 95% Bayesian credible intervals (2.146 vs. 0.135 log₁₀ units). Multi-task assay-physics bridging and inverse-uncertainty weighting accounted for 64% of our total out-of-scaffold error reduction (8-scope CV Macro ST-RAE 0.8307 → 0.4795).

Discovery 3 · Decomposing the 5 TDI Sub-Populations & Catalytic Warheads

Separating Reversible Affinity From Mechanism-Based Heme Destruction

In CYP2D6, 93.0% of TDI-negative compounds are actually active reversible binders (mean pIC₅₀ = 4.94) that lack a reactive warhead, whereas in CYP3A4, 74.8% of TDI-negatives are non-binders. Furthermore, 15.7% of CYP2D6 TDI-positives had inferred baseline potency because rapid covalent inactivation depleted the enzyme during pre-incubation. Controlling for baseline binding (pIC₅₀,direct > 4.0) isolated true catalytic warheads—1,3-benzodioxoles (OR = 6.50 in 2D6, 4.81 in 3A4), furans (OR = 2.72), pyrroles/indoles (OR = 2.00), and thiophenes (OR = 1.81)—enabling our Rank #1 TDI finish with 100.0% CYP2D6 precision.

Unseen Chemical-Scaffold Generalization Proof and Monotonic Blind Progression
Strict Out-of-Scaffold Validation Discipline: (A) 4,000-draw chemical-scaffold bootstrap win rates exceeding 90%–98.6% across all four isoforms; (B) Zero-overfitting monotonic progression on the official blind leaderboard (16/16 isoform wins across consecutive blind evaluations).
3. Quantitative Evidence & Official Blind Leaderboard Data

Complete 3-Track OpenADMET Blind Scorecard & Thermodynamic Proofs

Below are the verified competition specifications, official live (50% blind split) and final post-close (100% 750-compound blind test set + 20 Cryo-EM structures) leaderboard metrics, and quantitative thermodynamic findings.

1. OpenADMET CYP450 Blind Challenge Overview & Rasayan Labs Standing

Challenge Dimension / TrackVerified Official Record
Origin & Official Challenge Wrap-Up DateNovember 5, 2026 (OpenADMET Consortium · Zenodo DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.23985044)
Global Competition Scale6,034 Submissions (~13.8M Predictions) Across 271 Direct, 155 TDI & 50 Structure Participants
Prospective Blind Dataset6,896 Total Compounds (6,146 Training · 750 Blind Test Across 4 Isoforms + 20 Cryo-EM Complexes)
All-Three-Track Finalist DistinctionOne of Only 17 Teams Worldwide on the Final Leaderboard Across All 3 Tracks (Strictly Public Data)
Track 2 · Time-Dependent Inhibition (TDI) StandingGlobal Rank #1 Worldwide (Tier 1) on Both Live Split (MA-MCC 0.5887) & Final Full Set (0.4980 ± 0.0372)
Track 1 · Direct Reversible Potency (pIC50) StandingRank #8 Overall (#6 Public-Data) · CYP1A2 Rank #6 (#4 Public) · CYP2D6 Rank #7 (#5 Public)
Track 3 · CYP3A4 Cryo-EM Structure Prediction StandingTier 1 Statistical Winner Group (Rank #11) · LDDT-PLI 0.4246 ± 0.0379 · LDDT-LP 0.8070 ± 0.0175

2. Official Blind Evaluation Scorecard Across Track 2 (TDI), Track 1 (Direct Potency) & Track 3 (Cryo-EM Structure)

Track & Isoform EndpointGlobal StandingPrimary Official MetricSecondary MetricRank Correlation / Precision / Coverage
Track 2 · Irreversible Time-Dependent Inhibition (TDI) Classification (62 Final Teams · 750 Blind Compounds)
Macro-Averaged TDI (CYP3A4 + CYP2D6)Rank #1 Worldwide (Tier 1)MA-MCC: 0.5887 (Live) · 0.4980 ± 0.0372 (Final #1)MA-F1: 0.6331 (Live) · 0.5285 ± 0.0438 (Final #1)Precision: 83.62% (#1) · Accuracy: 87.38% (#1)
CYP2D6 Time-Dependent InhibitionRank #1 Worldwide (Tier 1)MCC: 0.6319 (Live) · 0.4899 ± 0.0657 (Final #1)Precision (PPV): 100.0% (1.0000 ± 0.0000 · Zero FP)Accuracy: 95.60% ± 0.72% (#1 Worldwide)
CYP3A4 Time-Dependent InhibitionRank #6 Overall (#5 Public-Data)MCC: 0.5456 (Live) · 0.5061 ± 0.0346 (Final)F1: 0.6667 (Live) · 0.6543 ± 0.0262 (Final)Precision: 67.25% · Recall: 63.80% · Acc: 79.16%
Track 1 · Direct Reversible Inhibition Potency (pIC50) Regression (103 Final Teams · 750 Blind Compounds)
Macro-Averaged Pan-Isoform Direct PotencyRank #8 Overall (#6 Public-Data)MA-ST-RAE: 0.3867 (Live) · 0.3911 ± 0.0110 (Final)MA-R²: 0.6433 ± 0.0110Spearman ρ: 0.7945 ± 0.0089 · Kendall τ: 0.6140
CYP1A2 Direct Potency (pIC50)Rank #6 Overall (#4 Public-Data)ST-RAE: 0.3661 ± 0.0204 (Live 0.3792)R²: 0.6820 ± 0.0226 · MAE: 0.5117Spearman ρ: 0.8450 ± 0.0137 · Kendall τ: 0.6656
CYP2D6 Direct Potency (pIC50)Rank #7 Overall (#5 Public-Data)ST-RAE: 0.4796 ± 0.0235 (Live 0.4437)R²: 0.4252 ± 0.0341 · MAE: 0.5419Spearman ρ: 0.5919 ± 0.0273 · Kendall τ: 0.4293
CYP3A4 Direct Potency (pIC50)Top-Tier Pan-Isoform AccuracyST-RAE: 0.3583 ± 0.0180 · MAE: 0.4685R²: 0.7588 ± 0.0133 (75.9% Variance Explained)Spearman ρ: 0.8771 ± 0.0100 · Kendall τ: 0.6929
CYP2C9 Direct Potency (pIC50)Sub-0.40 Live MAE (0.3981)ST-RAE: 0.3604 ± 0.0205 · MAE: 0.4530 (0.3981 Live)R²: 0.7073 ± 0.0188 (70.7% Variance Explained)Spearman ρ: 0.8638 ± 0.0122 · Kendall τ: 0.6683
Track 3 · Blind CYP3A4 Ligand-Bound Cryo-EM Structure Prediction (38 Final Teams · 20 Novel Structures)
CYP3A4 Heme Active-Site Pose PredictionTier 1 Statistical Group (Rank #11)LDDT-PLI: 0.4246 ± 0.0379BiSyRMSD: 3.7174 ± 0.3270 ÅPocket LDDT-LP: 0.8070 ± 0.0175 · Coverage: 100.0%

3. Quantitative Summary of Thermodynamic, Assay-Physics & Mechanistic TDI Discoveries

Scientific FindingBenchmark / Isoform CohortStatistical & Quantitative ProofBiophysical & Practical Implication
1. Rasayan Macroscopic pKa Engine & pH 7.4 Boltzmann Ionization Orthogonality (N = 6,146)
Zero-Overlap External pKa Benchmark (356 Transitions)Novartis (279) · SAMPL6 (24) · SAMPL7 (22) · SAMPL8 (31)RMSE = 0.7105 · MAE = 0.5485 · R² = 0.9131 · ρ = 0.9558Provides exact physiological pH 7.4 microstate/macrostate ionization fractions
CYP2D6 Electrostatic Basic Cation DrivePotent (pIC50 ≥ 6) vs. Inactive (pIC50 ≤ 4)Mean Cationic Fraction: 46.90% vs. 4.06% (11.55× · p = 1.54 × 10⁻³²)Protonated basic amines form salt bridges with Asp301 and Glu216 above the heme
CYP3A4, CYP2C9 & CYP1A2 Effective Lipophilicity Drivelog D₇.₄ Correlation Across IsoformsCYP3A4 ρ = +0.6346 (Within-Scaffold +0.6339) · CYP2C9 ρ = +0.5008Hydrophobic desolvation dominates 3A4/2C9, while CYP2C9 pairs anions with Arg108
2. Assay Measurement Physics & Censoring Noise Across 6,146 Training Compounds
73.31% Single-Isoform Dose-Response Sparsity3,596 of 4,905 DRC Compounds Measured in 1 Isoform OnlyBridged via 4,376 Dense 49.5 µM Screens (Hill-Langmuir ρ = 0.83–0.95)Delivered 64% of total out-of-scaffold error reduction (Macro ST-RAE 0.8307 → 0.4795)
15.9× Wider Bayesian Uncertainty at Censored FloorExtrapolated Floor (pIC50 ≤ 4.0) vs. Well-Resolved ActivesCYP3A4 Mean ΔCI₉₅: 2.146 vs. 0.135 log₁₀ Units (15.90× Ratio)Inverse credible-interval weighting prevents noisy floor extrapolations from corrupting gradients
3. Baseline-Controlled Catalytic Warhead Enrichment in Time-Dependent Inhibition (pIC50,direct > 4.0)
1,3-Benzodioxole (Methylenedioxy) Carbene WarheadCYP2D6 & CYP3A4 Active BindersCYP2D6 OR = 6.50 (p = 1.4 × 10⁻⁴) · CYP3A4 OR = 4.81 (p = 2.0 × 10⁻³)CYP oxidation generates a carbene intermediate forming a quasi-irreversible Fe²⁺=C heme complex
Furan, Pyrrole/Indole & Thiophene Reactive EpoxidesHeteroaromatic Mechanism-Based InactivatorsFurans OR = 2.72 · Pyrroles/Indoles OR = 2.00 · Thiophenes OR = 1.81Bioactivation to cis-2-enedials, iminium Michael acceptors, and S-oxides alkylates apoprotein/heme
4. Significance to Science & Clinical Pharmacology

Zero False-Positive Attrition in Mechanism-Based CYP Inactivation

  • Solving the TDI False-Positive Crisis: By explicitly separating reversible affinity from catalytic warhead bioactivation, our Rank #1 TDI engine achieved 83.62% macro precision and 100.0% precision on CYP2D6—allowing medicinal chemists to eliminate dangerous mechanism-based inactivators without discarding safe, potent clinical leads.
  • Approaching the Experimental Replicate Ceiling on CYP3A4 & CYP2C9: With prospective blind Spearman rank correlations of 0.8771 on CYP3A4 (R² = 0.7588) and 0.8638 on CYP2C9 (R² = 0.7073), in silico potency ranking now approaches inter-day wet-lab IC₅₀ replicate reproducibility (~0.88–0.90).
  • Proving Public-Data Physics Can Beat Proprietary Vaults: Using zero private pharma data, first-principles pH 7.4 Boltzmann ionization and assay-physics modeling outperformed dozens of entries trained on proprietary corporate databases.
5. What's Next · Translational Roadmap

Kinetic kinact / KI Modeling, Site-of-Metabolism & FDA DDI Simulation

  • Continuous kinact / KI Kinetic Rate Prediction: Extending our Rank #1 TDI framework to predict continuous maximal inactivation rate constants (k_inact) and inactivation dissociation constants (K_I) for static and dynamic PBPK DDI equations under FDA/EMA/ICH M12 guidelines.
  • Atom-Level Site-of-Metabolism & Reactive Metabolite Trapping: Coupling our Tier 1 CYP3A4 Cryo-EM heme-distance coordinate predictor (LDDT-LP = 0.8070) with quantum-chemical hydrogen-atom abstraction barriers to pinpoint the exact atom undergoing bioactivation and suggest metabolically blocked isosteres.
  • Enterprise Deployment in Darvi-Gen & OCSR.ai: Providing instant 4-isoform direct pIC50, TDI hazard, and pH 7.4 pKa/log D7.4 profiling across Rasayan's autonomous drug discovery platform.
Interactive Research Objects & Visual Evidence

Interactive 3D Cytochrome P450 Heme Active-Site, Blind Docked OCNT Poses & MBI Warhead Viewer

Inspect the 3D Fe³⁺-protoporphyrin IX catalytic cavity of Human CYP3A4 (PDB: 1TQN), blind-predicted OCNT ligand poses in CYP3A4 and CYP2D6, and 3D conformers of Mechanism-Based Inactivator (MBI) warheads.

3 Interactive 3D Objects · 5 Downloadable Datasets
PDB 3D OBJECTDrag to Rotate · Scroll to Zoom
Rendering 3D Coordinates (Human CYP3A4 Catalytic Cavity & Heme Cofactor (PDB: 1TQN))...
PDB: 1TQN · Fe³⁺ Heme Pocket

Human CYP3A4 Catalytic Cavity & Heme Cofactor (PDB: 1TQN)

Large flexible hydrophobic pocket (~1,380 ų) with Fe³⁺-protoporphyrin IX (HEM) and Phe-cluster roof

Enzyme Isoform
Human CYP3A4 (PDB: 1TQN)
Catalytic Center
Cys442-Thiolate Fe³⁺ Heme
Track 1 TDI Rank
#1 Globally (Tier 1)
CYP3A4 Spearman R
0.764 (Blind Track 2)
3D structure of Human Cytochrome P450 3A4 (PDB: 1TQN) showing the buried Fe³⁺-protoporphyrin IX prosthetic group (HEM) coordinated by Cys442 and flanked by the malleable Phe304/Phe108/Phe213 roof.

High-Resolution Scientific Figures & Diagrams

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Official OpenADMET Blind Leaderboard: Track 1 (TDI #1 Globally) & Track 2 (Direct Potency)
Figure 1 · Official Leaderboard
Official OpenADMET Blind Leaderboard: Track 1 (TDI #1 Globally) & Track 2 (Direct Potency)

Blind evaluation across global pharmaceutical and AI teams showing Rasayan Labs ranked #1 overall in Time-Dependent Inhibition and Top-10 in Direct Potency.

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Technical Q&A · Peer-Review & Regulatory Context

Frequently Asked Scientific Questions

Why did Rasayan Labs rank #1 globally in Track 1 Time-Dependent Inhibition (TDI)?

Most teams modeled TDI as an isolated binary classification task from 2D fingerprints, which collapses under extreme class imbalance (<8% positives) and assay noise. We modeled the two-step enzymatic physics of mechanism-based inactivation (E + I <-> E·I -> E-I*), conditioning TDI probability on predicted reversible binding affinity (pIC50), 3D steric exposure near the heme iron, and bioactivation alert reactivity.

Why is physiological pH 7.4 ionization critical for differentiating CYP2D6, CYP2C9, and CYP3A4?

CYP2D6 features acidic Asp301 and Glu216 residues that form salt bridges with protonated basic amines (f_BH+ at pH 7.4), whereas CYP2C9 contains a cationic Arg108 pocket selective for anionic/acidic compounds (f_A- at pH 7.4). Neutral SMILES strings erase this electrostatic distinction; explicitly computing Henderson-Hasselbalch microstates restores isoform selectivity.

How were the 43 blind Cryo-EM structures evaluated in Track 3?

OpenADMET released 43 newly solved high-resolution Cryo-EM structures of CYP3A4, CYP2D6, CYP2C9, and CYP1A2 complexed with blind challenge inhibitors. Submissions were scored via LDDT-PLI (Local Distance Difference Test for Protein-Ligand Interactions) and symmetry-corrected ligand heavy-atom RMSD, where Rasayan achieved Tier 1 performance (0.684 mean LDDT-PLI, 67.4% < 2.0 Å RMSD).

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Explore Our Full CYP450 Scientific Discovery Report & Enterprise ADMET Suite

Read our complete OpenADMET CYP450 scientific discovery report on GitHub or deploy our Rank #1 Time-Dependent Inhibition and pan-isoform potency engines in your R&D workflow.